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Predictions for 2017

17 January 2017

Okay readers, it's time for me to put my Nostradamus hat on again and see if I can peek up to 12 months into the future.

Exactly what delights and horrors will 2017 bring?

Well firstly, and possibly most importantly -- the issue of Donald Trump.

Yes, the guy comes across as a bumbling, self-important buffoon - but don't let that fool you. I don't think he will plunge the world into WW3 or turn the USA into another state of the slowly reforming Soviet Republic. Donald will very quickly learn (as Obama did before him) that, as President of the USA, he actually has bugger-all power.

It will be "business as usual" for those who really wield the power. I'm talking about the defense industry and a raft of other big corporate entities that have, for decades now, dictated policy and practice within the halls of the US government.

No wall, no war, no worries!

But now to matters of technology...

Yet again (for the nth year running) I can safely predict that 2017 will not be the year when we conquer the challenge of nuclear fusion reactors.

Nor will it be the year of the flying car or the rocket belt.

No manned moonbases, no manned trips to Mars, nor any of the other things that were all predicted to have happened before the end of last century by optimistic scifi writers of the 50s and 60s.

Will we have drones buzzing around in the skies over our heads -- dropping their consignments from DHL, Amazon and Dominos right at our doorsteps?


How about self-driving cars?

Nope... although I am impressed at the pace with which this technology has advanced over the past 18 months.

Will electric vehicles become commonplace?

Not yet... but that day is getting closer. I'd say give it about 2-3 years and we'll be there. Right now however, there's just not enough capacity to create the billions of lithium-ion cells needed to power these things.

Well that's a big long list of stuff that won't happen in 2017 and I guess it's always easier to predict the wonts than the wills -- so here's my list of things that will happen:

Firstly, 2017 will be the year of the paperless office.

Secondly, it will be the year of the LAN.

And finally, it will be the year in which we finally realise that nobody wants 3D TV.

But to be more serious... it may well be the year when the volume of streamed video content exceeds the volume broadcast by more traditional methods.

As a result, Sky TV's shares here in NZ will continue to decline in value -- perhaps very sharply, as shareholders wake up to the fact that they're now in the business of trying to sell buggy-whips to folk who have discovered the horseless carriage.

There will be a surge in malware -- particularly ransomware. This will be driven by the success of such "enterprises" over the past year or two. Far too many crooks are getting away with a fortune, thanks to the lax security and practice of many small (and large) businesses.

And, in my final peek into the future, the sun will continue to rise every morning and set each evening. This means that the oft-predicted arrival of planet Nibiru will yet again fail to materialise.

And that's my bit of crystal ball gazing over for another year.

Please rate my predictions and add some of your own by way of the Aardvark forums.

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